2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
198 sqft ·
Built 2003
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,607/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$757
Net cashflow
$783/mo
Annual
$9,398/yr
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.23%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $783 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $290k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#6 in AL, #1,842 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Auburn City (urban): math 51% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #7 of 129 in AL (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 899 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 15637% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $198k; list at $299k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,607/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 2961% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-11CQADFPZEJDD2
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29