3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$311
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$93/mo
Annual
$1,120/yr
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.13%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#784 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lee El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 449 students, 96% FRL); B L Garza Middle (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 1,056 students, 82% FRL); Edinburg North H S (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,672 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 62% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 524 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.4% in Edinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-11KS0C961Z538K
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29