8 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,480 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,942/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,515
Tax + insurance
−$509
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,458
Net cashflow
$2,461/mo
Annual
$29,526/yr
Cap rate
12.45%
Cash-on-cash
21.99%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$134,260
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $480k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $820/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $480k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($472k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $472k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 21 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $360k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $134k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $6,942/mo this rent would consume 239% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 1435% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-11SBD37R1W68QB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29