2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,919/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$385
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$786/mo
Annual
$9,426/yr
Cap rate
25.15%
Cash-on-cash
67.33%
DSCR
4.00
1% rule
3.84%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#16 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
Pawtucket (suburban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #33 of 39 in RI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
20 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $48k (49%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 3.8% in Pawtucket — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-11WPNFFGQ3ZGVD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29