2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,452/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$305
Net cashflow
$137/mo
Annual
$1,646/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.92%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (3.2% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $145k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#950 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
Otego-Unadilla Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #547 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $150k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.5% in Unadilla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-125VZ19S0WNVPQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29