3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,688 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,384/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,534
Tax + insurance
−$473
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$711
Net cashflow
$666/mo
Annual
$7,989/yr
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.75%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$81,900
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $292k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $292k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Adams Magnet Elementary (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #636 of 857 statewide, top 76%, 496 students, 43% FRL); Highland Park Middle School (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #172 of 258 statewide, top 68%, 805 students, 53% FRL); Highland Park Senior High (math 44% / reading 62%, grade C-, #107 of 471 statewide, top 23%, 1,390 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 64% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 27% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the St. Paul Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $218k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At $3,384/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 1609% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-126RKEEQNJZVBB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29