3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,654 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 160 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,981/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$171
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$416
Net cashflow
$194/mo
Annual
$2,325/yr
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.63%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (13.5% below list).
It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in ME, #1,653 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D-.
RSU 09 (rural): math 78% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #88 of 112 in ME (top 79%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Mt Blue Middle School (math 78% / reading 79%, grade A+, #69 of 85 statewide, top 82%, 488 students, 50% FRL); Mt Blue High School (math 87% / reading 95%, grade A+, #42 of 108 statewide, top 38%, 733 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $229k implies a 316% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.8% in Farmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-12CJA1AKM6YZD8
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29