6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,964 sqft ·
Built 1956
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,307/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,723
Tax + insurance
−$1,470
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,744
Net cashflow
$1,369/mo
Annual
$16,432/yr
Cap rate
8.61%
Cash-on-cash
8.27%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$198,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $710k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $685/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $710k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($699k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $699k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#456 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
North Shore Central School District (suburban): math 88% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #24 of 590 in NY (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Glenwood Landing Elementary School (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A+, #93 of 2,108 statewide, top 6%, 427 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.0% in Glenwood Landing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-12MSMT6Z16Q37D
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29