3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1993
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$990/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$-359/mo
Annual
$-4,313/yr
Cap rate
4.02%
Cash-on-cash
-8.11%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-359 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (33.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (47.9% below list).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (47.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#19 in NC, #1,753 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
Mitchell County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #87 of 178 in NC (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Greenlee Primary (222 students, 60% FRL); Mitchell High (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C-, #270 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 497 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Mitchell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mitchell County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $190k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 1.7% in Spruce Pine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-12MW063KDA4P4X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29