3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1798
· Other
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,293/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,620/yr
Cap rate
13.32%
Cash-on-cash
25.09%
DSCR
2.12
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,301 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Bethlehem-Center SD (rural): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #448 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1798 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1798 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe peeling and damage
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and potential leaks
Major: flooring
— Worn and possibly damaged
Major: HVAC system
— No recent maintenance visible
CashFlowRE · CFR-12S095F99PENZ2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29