1420 Panadero Ave #2

La Veta, CO 81055

$169,900D-

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 637 sqft · Built 1983 · Condo · Active · 89 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,320/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax + insurance: −$154
• HOA: −$75
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$277
• Net cashflow: $-77/mo
• Annual: $-926/yr
• Cap rate: 5.75%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.95%
• DSCR: 0.91
• 1% rule: 0.78%
• Cash to close: $47,572

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-926/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (8.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (22.3% below list).
• It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $132k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#198 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, crime F.
• La Veta School District Re-2 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #105 of 176 in CO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: La Veta Elementary School (reading 24%, 117 students, 53% FRL); La Veta Junior-Senior High School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #315 of 381 statewide, top 85%, 121 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Huerfano County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Huerfano County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 1.9% in La Veta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?