3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
978 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,625/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$-576/mo
Annual
$-6,910/yr
Cap rate
3.47%
Cash-on-cash
-10.07%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-576 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (41.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (33.7% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (41.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#525 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $156k; list at $245k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 6.1% in Matteson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-13K137BSEFPPGV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29