4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,289 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,217/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$715/mo
Annual
$8,584/yr
Cap rate
34.91%
Cash-on-cash
102.19%
DSCR
5.55
1% rule
4.06%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#73 in KS, #4,191 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Kingman-Norwich (town): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #129 of 169 in KS (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Kingman Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #540 of 684 statewide, top 82%, 349 students, 59% FRL); Kingman Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #192 of 219 statewide, top 88%, 94 students, 54% FRL); Kingman High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 203 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Kingman County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kingman County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-13X5ZXE9BMJ83Y
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29