2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1926
· Other
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$285
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$-68/mo
Annual
$-814/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.76%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-814/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (17.0% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $137k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in WI, #574 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Oshkosh Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #246 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #662 of 1,041 statewide, top 67%, 345 students, 48% FRL); Tipler Middle (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #255 of 383 statewide, top 67%, 341 students, 52% FRL); West High (math 41% / reading 52%, grade D-, #55 of 483 statewide, top 11%, 1,627 students, 29% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 44 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Oshkosh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-13Y7ZE2NA4PE54
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29