4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,975 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$23,827/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$11,432
Tax + insurance
−$1,948
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,004
Net cashflow
$5,444/mo
Annual
$65,324/yr
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.70%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$610,400
Investor read
This is a 7 × 8-bed/7.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.18M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($65k/yr) — positive. Per door: $778/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($24k rent vs $2.18M).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($2.15M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.15M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $65k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#181 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
Pasadena Unified (urban): math 42% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #123 of 517 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 75 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $800k; list at $2.18M implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 1.5% in Pasadena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $23,827/mo this rent would consume 226% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 1405% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-14VAWRBSGJW5BP
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29