3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,435 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$580
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$458/mo
Annual
$5,494/yr
Cap rate
12.47%
Cash-on-cash
22.05%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
2.35%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#642 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Some scuff marks on walls
Minor: Flooring
— Some wear on carpet
CashFlowRE · CFR-14XG6569YNFR5Q
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29