2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1929
· Condo
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,470/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,666
Tax + insurance
−$1,165
HOA
−$1,497
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$939
Net cashflow
$-2,796/mo
Annual
$-33,551/yr
Cap rate
1.49%
Cash-on-cash
-17.14%
DSCR
0.24
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$195,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $699k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-34k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $511k (26.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $447k (36.0% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $447k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $51k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $46k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Rye City School District (suburban): math 89% / reading 93% proficiency, ranked #4 of 590 in NY (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Midland School (math 82% / reading 98%, grade A+, #37 of 2,108 statewide, top 2%, 460 students, 0% FRL); Rye Middle School (math 77% / reading 92%, grade A+, #13 of 729 statewide, top 2%, 685 students, 0% FRL); Rye High School (math 100% / reading 87%, grade A+, #141 of 1,100 statewide, top 13%, 903 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $460k; list at $699k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-14XP6V3JWACPGM
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29