6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,166 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Other
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,467/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$357
HOA
−$58
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$9/mo
Annual
$111/yr
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.28%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($111/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#156 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A-, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rich District (rural): math 51% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #16 of 80 in UT (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: North Rich School (math 64% / reading 54%, grade B-, #59 of 585 statewide, top 10%, 113 students, 37% FRL); Rich Middle School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade B-, #13 of 138 statewide, top 9%, 123 students, 33% FRL); Rich High (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #63 of 171 statewide, top 37%, 156 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: 478 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Rich County in 2024 (19 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rich County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
11 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-14YFQ998XRCHTN
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29