2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,330 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Pending
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,995/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$331
HOA
−$308
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$419
Net cashflow
$-505/mo
Annual
$-6,063/yr
Cap rate
4.09%
Cash-on-cash
-7.87%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-505 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (32.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (27.5% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $186k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#118 in MN, #2,692 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
Prior Lake-Savage Area Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #32 of 301 in MN (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 699 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.8% in Savage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-155B04FYXZ4RW8
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29