3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,425 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,178/yr
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.22%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (9.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (23.6% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Meriwether County (rural): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #144 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary School (math 28% / reading 22%, grade F, #745 of 1,228 statewide, top 61%, 756 students, 99% FRL); Manchester Middle School (math 20% / reading 26%, grade F, #321 of 470 statewide, top 69%, 313 students, 96% FRL); Manchester High School (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #128 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 403 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Meriwether County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Meriwether County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $44k; list at $190k implies a 332% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-15AJRA34CR3CA9
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29