6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,484 sqft ·
Built 1977
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 180 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,802
Tax + insurance
−$945
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,530
Net cashflow
$1,009/mo
Annual
$12,109/yr
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$203,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $725k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $336/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $725k).
It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($638k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $638k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#497 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
West Contra Costa Unified (suburban): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #993 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (316 students, 56% FRL); Lovonya Dejean Middle (404 students, 69% FRL); John F. Kennedy High (823 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $231k; list at $725k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.7% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,286/mo this rent would consume 107% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 1277% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-15C4HV5BW4Z0RX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29