Pineda Plan

San Antonio, TX 78056

$299,990C-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,332 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 16 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,837/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,573
• Tax + insurance: −$500
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$596
• Net cashflow: $168/mo
• Annual: $2,018/yr
• Cap rate: 6.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.40%
• DSCR: 1.11
• 1% rule: 0.95%
• Cash to close: $83,997

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated poor.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (5.4% below list).
• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $284k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $123 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
• Medina Valley ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #148 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 102 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Medina County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: roof — No roof visible in the satellite image, indicating potential structural damage.
• Major: exterior — No exterior visible in the satellite image, indicating potential siding and structural issues.
• Major: flooring — No flooring visible in the satellite image, indicating potential subfloor and structural issues.
• Major: interior walls/paint — No interior walls/paint visible in the satellite image, indicating potential drywall and paint issues.
• Major: systems — No systems visible in the satellite image, indicating potential HVAC and plumbing issues.
• Major: landscaping/curb appeal — No landscaping/curb appeal visible in the satellite image, indicating potential landscaping and curb appeal issues.