3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,825 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$-10/mo
Annual
$-116/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.28%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-116/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (13.7% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $129k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#267 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities D-.
East Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #248 of 301 in MN (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Pine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pine County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $97k; list at $149k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-16AZRS3YKVVBQ3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29