3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
704 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,706/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$724
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$358
Net cashflow
$425/mo
Annual
$5,097/yr
Cap rate
9.99%
Cash-on-cash
13.19%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$38,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($954 loan paydown + $621 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#575 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $103k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-16G04A7ZVB7VBX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29