3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 223 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,001/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,567
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$-484/mo
Annual
$-5,808/yr
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.94%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$83,664
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-484 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (23.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (33.0% below list).
It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#100 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Jefferson County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #6 of 55 in WV (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1,162 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-16GXSW4EYGWEVH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29