3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,532/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$71/mo
Annual
$852/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.65%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($852/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (17.2% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $153k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#36 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, health & safety F.
Cullman City (town): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #13 of 129 in AL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 51% / reading 74%, grade B, #51 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 594 students, 33% FRL); Cullman Middle School (math 32% / reading 68%, grade C, #25 of 257 statewide, top 10%, 528 students, 34% FRL); Cullman High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #38 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 997 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 345 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $110k; list at $185k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Cullman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-16R3AY1HA9WGD6
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29