3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,672 sqft ·
Built 1970
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,182/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$964
Tax + insurance
−$306
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,298
Net cashflow
$3,613/mo
Annual
$43,355/yr
Cap rate
29.87%
Cash-on-cash
84.20%
DSCR
4.75
1% rule
3.36%
Cash to close
$51,492
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $184k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($43k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $184k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $51k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 29.9% vs local median 5.3% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen countertops
— The countertops are visibly worn and need replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom fixtures are old and need replacement.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring is worn and needs replacement.
Major: Interior paint
— The interior paint is worn and needs repainting.
Major: Landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-16T01N56PNHH5P
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29