2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,196 sqft ·
Built 1860
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,878/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$316/mo
Annual
$3,789/yr
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.52%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in IN, #622 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
Goshen Community Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #190 of 301 in IN (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Goshen Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #597 of 994 statewide, top 63%, 247 students, 83% FRL); Goshen Junior High School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #197 of 330 statewide, top 60%, 1,001 students, 70% FRL); Goshen High School (math 32% / reading 65%, grade D, #139 of 369 statewide, top 38%, 2,004 students, 64% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $180k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Goshen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-16VDRH05RXXK20
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29