3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Condo
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,099/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$184
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$422/mo
Annual
$5,067/yr
Cap rate
19.66%
Cash-on-cash
47.75%
DSCR
3.12
1% rule
2.90%
Cash to close
$10,612
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $38k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#312 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 4.0% in Cadillac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-173YB5CFTN3BN4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29