4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,269 sqft ·
Built 1908
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 175 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,678/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$256
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$352
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$260/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.46%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($260/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#169 in MN, #3,642 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Redwood Area School District (town): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in MN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Reede Gray Elementary (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 419 students, 52% FRL); Redwood Valley Middle (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #147 of 258 statewide, top 57%, 322 students, 55% FRL); Redwood Valley Senior High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 371 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 31% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Redwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Redwood County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $119k; list at $200k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29