5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,626 sqft ·
Built 1840
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,362/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$361
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$706
Net cashflow
$937/mo
Annual
$11,239/yr
Cap rate
10.63%
Cash-on-cash
15.50%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 1×3bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $468/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, commute F.
Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1840 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $259k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 8.8% in Oswego — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $3,362/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1341% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1840 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-17F85DBHXZ6XW4
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29