2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$863/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$545
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$181
Net cashflow
$4/mo
Annual
$52/yr
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.18%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$29,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($52/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (17.0% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $719 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Landergin El (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 236 students, 90% FRL); Austin Middle (math 47% / reading 43%, grade D, #479 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 677 students, 63% FRL); Tascosa H S (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #798 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 2,187 students, 57% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-17VXJRDCBC5ED0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29