4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Manufactured
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,045/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$-331/mo
Annual
$-3,968/yr
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.66%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-331 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (31.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (43.5% below list).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $104k (43.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#318 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 12227% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-17ZA3VBREA9X81
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29