3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,742 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 286 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,604/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$650
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$473/mo
Annual
$5,675/yr
Cap rate
10.87%
Cash-on-cash
16.36%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$34,692
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hollidaysburg Area SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #129 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Frankstown El Sch (math 48% / reading 68%, grade C+, #430 of 1,518 statewide, top 29%, 608 students, 37% FRL); Hollidaysburg Area Jhs (math 36% / reading 61%, grade C-, #146 of 512 statewide, top 30%, 807 students, 41% FRL); Hollidaysburg Area Shs (math 67%, 793 students, 26% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-18BMZ47Y7NNCYQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29