2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,497 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,982/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$356
HOA
−$180
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$416
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-238/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.43%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-238/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (0.9% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $196k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#952 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Derry Township SD (suburban): math 74% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #15 of 539 in PA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 106 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $142k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Derry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-18M575A4Z8R979
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29