3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,267 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Other
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,809/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,096
Tax + insurance
−$201
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$133/mo
Annual
$1,593/yr
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.72%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$58,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $209k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (13.4% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#68 in MO, #4,558 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Nixa Public Schools (suburban): math 66% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 324 in MO (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Nixa Junior High (math 70% / reading 61%, grade A-, #3 of 391 statewide, top 1%, 1,067 students, 29% FRL); Nixa High (math 70% / reading 77%, grade B+, #6 of 521 statewide, top 1%, 1,957 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 396 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 537 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Christian County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.7% in Nixa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-18YK6602A96815
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29