2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,068 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,009/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$400
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-119/mo
Annual
$-1,429/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.70%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (9.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#127 in WA, #2,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
University Place School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #14 of 291 in WA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: University Place Primary (501 students, 42% FRL); Narrows View Intermediate (712 students, 46% FRL); Curtis Senior High (1,349 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.9% in Tacoma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-197SKT34TSD6M3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29