2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1948
· Condo
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,161/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$665
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$874
Net cashflow
$529/mo
Annual
$6,354/yr
Cap rate
7.89%
Cash-on-cash
5.69%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $387k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Rye City School District (suburban): math 89% / reading 93% proficiency, ranked #4 of 590 in NY (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Midland School (math 82% / reading 98%, grade A+, #37 of 2,108 statewide, top 2%, 460 students, 0% FRL); Rye Middle School (math 77% / reading 92%, grade A+, #13 of 729 statewide, top 2%, 685 students, 0% FRL); Rye High School (math 100% / reading 87%, grade A+, #141 of 1,100 statewide, top 13%, 903 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $325k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 1.5% in Rye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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