1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
699 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Condo
· Pending
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,714/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,668
Tax + insurance
−$530
HOA
−$818
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$570
Net cashflow
$-872/mo
Annual
$-10,459/yr
Cap rate
3.00%
Cash-on-cash
-11.75%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$89,040
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $318k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-872 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $271k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#35 in NY, #551 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Great Neck Union Free School District (suburban): math 86% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #30 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: E M Baker School (math 85% / reading 84%, grade A+, #93 of 2,108 statewide, top 6%, 664 students, 19% FRL); Great Neck South Middle School (math 79% / reading 81%, grade A+, #28 of 729 statewide, top 4%, 861 students, 23% FRL); Great Neck South High School (math 100% / reading 92%, grade A+, #71 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,262 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 4.4% in Great Neck Plaza — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-19XX0M9R68G4H1
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29