3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,242 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$432/mo
Annual
$5,186/yr
Cap rate
11.48%
Cash-on-cash
18.53%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$27,986
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($692 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#210 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Hamilton ISD (town): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #192 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Ann Whitney El (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,335 of 4,322 statewide, top 33%, 397 students, 60% FRL).
Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 2.9% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1AM6XE184ZJB81
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29