4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,854 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,157/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$452/mo
Annual
$5,429/yr
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.48%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $452 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
United ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #568 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Finley El (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 458 students, 88% FRL); George Washington Middle (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 1,112 students, 78% FRL); United H S (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #583 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 3,644 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 76% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 396 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.1% in Laredo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1APB8RF7V22H6D
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29