3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,412 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,285/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$218/mo
Annual
$2,613/yr
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.46%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (9.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#100 in NE, #3,948 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Eustis-Farnam Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #175 of 245 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Frontier County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Frontier County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $125k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1C0E5KDCAYAFKC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29