3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$947/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$485
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$-78/mo
Annual
$-938/yr
Cap rate
12.72%
Cash-on-cash
22.97%
DSCR
2.02
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-938/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $51k (21.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($947 rent vs $65k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $51k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#424 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pike County (rural): math 24% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #98 of 165 in KY (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Shelby Valley High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 531 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1C7FC2DRQNNFAZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29