1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
500 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Pending
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,702/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,042
Tax + insurance
−$967
HOA
−$755
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$987
Net cashflow
$-1,048/mo
Annual
$-12,582/yr
Cap rate
4.12%
Cash-on-cash
-7.75%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$162,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $580k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $538k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $470k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($545k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $470k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $62k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $58k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Ps 321 William Penn (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A+, #176 of 2,108 statewide, top 8%, 1,216 students, 6% FRL); Ms 51 William Alexander (math 67% / reading 92%, grade A+, #32 of 729 statewide, top 5%, 1,026 students, 61% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$100k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($186k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-1CHS7Z3MC927JA
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29