2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,316 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Condo
· Active
· 268 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,825/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$1,147
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$593
Net cashflow
$-228/mo
Annual
$-2,740/yr
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.15%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (17.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $157k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blue Lake Elementary (731 students, 18% FRL); Boca Raton Community Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 1,225 students, 41% FRL); West Boca Raton High School (math 55% / reading 70%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,271 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 29% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29