3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,502 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 227 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,206/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$142
Tax + insurance
−$70
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$740/mo
Annual
$8,886/yr
Cap rate
39.20%
Cash-on-cash
117.54%
DSCR
6.23
1% rule
4.47%
Cash to close
$7,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $740 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $997 of equity ($187 loan paydown + $810 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Paducah ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #766 of 1,141 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1D8FN85EJ8KCZT
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29