2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,063 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,512/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$59/mo
Annual
$714/yr
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.74%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($714/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#451 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Randolph County School System (rural): math 43% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #94 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Franklinville Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #771 of 1,410 statewide, top 57%, 318 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 48% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 789 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $61k; list at $180k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1DM5NA31PH8XJJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29