2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,036 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,080/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$51
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$409/mo
Annual
$4,904/yr
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.35%
DSCR
2.04
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#53 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Keystone (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #327 of 513 in OK (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $75k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 2.6% in Mannford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1DXRQ3D0Y3RAQH
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29