2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,148/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$636
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$451
Net cashflow
$-148/mo
Annual
$-1,780/yr
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.63%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-148 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (15.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#351 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rolling Green Elementary School (math 21% / reading 26%, grade F, #2,061 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 692 students, 88% FRL); Congress Community Middle School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #522 of 571 statewide, top 93%, 988 students, 72% FRL); Boynton Beach Community High (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #565 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,547 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 538 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $175k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.3% in Boynton Beach — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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