400 bd · 400.0 ba ·
5,008 sqft ·
Built 1958
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$36,025/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,391
Tax + insurance
−$2,488
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$7,565
Net cashflow
$17,581/mo
Annual
$210,973/yr
Cap rate
19.48%
Cash-on-cash
47.09%
DSCR
3.10
1% rule
2.25%
Cash to close
$448,000
Investor read
This is a 20 × 20-bed/20.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.60M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $18k ($211k/yr) — positive. Per door: $879/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($36k rent vs $1.60M).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.55M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.55M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $171k of equity ($11k loan paydown + $160k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $448k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$275k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $36,025/mo this rent would consume 920% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 948% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1E47G6F7Y717EV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29